⟳ Репост от Tashenubaste
Seriously, this is the drum I will never stop beating: when Nate Silver talks about the accuracy of his model’s predictions, he’s talking about the Election Day forecast, right? Final one. So how are we even to gauge what the daily forecasts for two months before that even *are*?
The Fig EconomyA daily updated forecast two months out from the election? The fuck is that even for? You’re not an oracle. It doesn’t mean anything.