“Polling wasn’t quite wrong because my candidate had enough votes to have won if there had been fewer votes for everybody else” is some epic cope, man.
brasidasThe thing about polling is that it is done and then mediated through a turnout model. That's why primary polling is notoriously bad, for example.
Seriously, this is the drum I will never stop beating: when Nate Silver talks about the accuracy of his model’s predictions, he’s talking about the Election Day forecast, right? Final one. So how are we even to gauge what the daily forecasts for two months before that even *are*?
The Fig EconomyA daily updated forecast two months out from the election? The fuck is that even for? You’re not an oracle. It doesn’t mean anything.
“.. you might have noticed the president looks years younger and fitter ..” @nymag.com nymag.com/intelligence...
I couldn’t make this up if I tried.🤬 “An anti-sex-trafficking nonprofit in Utah whose founder resigned after multiple women accused him of trafficking and sexual abuse has won a federal contract to provide legal services to unaccompanied immigrant children in government custody.“
Disgraced Anti-Sex-Trafficking NGO Gets $244 Million to Rep Migrant Kids - The American ProspectThe founder and CEO of Our Rescue resigned in 2023 amid allegations that he had sexually abused and trafficked women himself.prospect.org
I love having a gen-z doctor. today she told me my blood pressure was “extra spicy”
Non-zero chance Rubio volunteered to stay in the plane
George Conway ⚖️🇺🇸If you wanted to fly Donald Trump out on a different plane without advanced warning to protect him, that would be one thing. But to put others on what you believed to be a targeted plane served only one purpose: To propagate and maintain a lie to assuage a single man’s ego.
A Boston judge has issued a 2nd injunction against Trump's mail-voting executive order. This means that, even if SCOTUS overturns the 1st injunction (which is currently on the shadow docket), the order will remain blocked (pending appeal). Time's running out before the election…
Trump was always more likely to start (and lose) an idiotic war than Hillary Clinton or Kamala Harris. Obviously! I’m sorry you cooked your brain on streamers telling you that Chuck Schumer is secretly the arch puppet master of bombing Iran but it’s time to grow the fuck up
This, by the way, was part of why Kamala Harris' much-derided 2019 universal coverage proposal (before she dropped out of the 2020 primary) *deliberately* included a 10-year implementation process: She wanted to ensure that EVERY union would have time to renegotiate. acasignups.net/22/04/03/upd...
UPDATE: In which Kamala Harris splits the difference between #Med4America & #Med4All(IMPORTANT: As my friend Shawn Pierce keeps pointing out, the phrase "Medicare for All" has two very different meanings...one is the brand "Medicare for All", which simply refers to any healthcare pla...acasignups.net
The obvious compromise here is the scarification and abandonment of freshmen in forests
Nikolaj BillYour Excellency, you’re a bishop of a midsize diocese in Minnesota.
If they thought they could have secured a conviction, the case wouldn’t have been dropped in the first place. This is really getting pathetic.
Kyle GriffinBREAKING WSJ: Trump White House officials have asked the Trump Justice Department to consider a new prosecution of David Hearn, the man accused of vandalizing the Reflecting Pool — as Trump fumes over U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro's decision to drop the case.
People say we can't compare this to the Third Reich because of the atrocities but we only found out about the atrocities after the fact when it was all said and done and we're not done with this yet so I am sure the worst stomach churning shit has yet to be revealed.
awkwordICYMI: The US is currently holding three times as many people in immigrant detention as were detained in the Nazi concentration camp system in spring 1939 — six years into the Third Reich, and just before the start of World War II.
When Elon took over Twitter he told investors he'd triple ad revenue within 5 years. It's now been almost four years... and he's wiped out 2/3rds of the ad revenue (basically revealed in footnotes to SpaceX's earnings).
TechdirtSpaceX’s Earnings Show Elon Wiped Out Two-Thirds Of Twitter’s Ad Business When SpaceX filed for its IPO, we went through the S-1 to point out just how far off the mark Elon Musk's... https://www.techdirt.com/2026/08/10/spacexs-earnings-show-elon-wiped-out-two-thirds-of-twitters-ad-business/
Ah, I see that people are discovering the DSA paradox: Local chapters can be very competent challengers to the Democratic Party but the national org has been largely captured by kooks, encouraging the independence of local chapters.
imagine getting elected president as The Business Guy and then putting up numbers like this
MediagazerTrump Media reports a Q2 net loss of $238.1M, vs. a net loss of $20M a year ago, on revenue of $1.7M, mainly due to non-cash losses, including on digital assets (Todd Spangler/Variety) Main Link | Mediagazer Permalink
Every six months a writer goes on parental leave, is driven insane by watching 10,000 hours of Paw Patrol, and writes another one of these articles, and they're always great.
Jim Swift
So, mum is having limb weakness which is deteriorating pretty rapidly. She's had tests, more tests, doctors scratching their heads, more tests. I looked over all her test results this morning. In five months, not a SINGLE urine test to check for a UTI. She's 85.